
Who Goes There?
Katherine MacLean was born in 1925 and died relatively recently, in 2019, making her one of the longest-lived SF writers. Despite her longevity, though, MacLean wrote little fiction, and much of what she wrote was published in the ’50s, when she was quite young. This could be because the market for short SF saw a bubble that decade the likes of which it wouldn’t really see again until the 2010s. Clearly novels were not her preference, as she only wrote two solo novels, one of which (The Missing Man) is a fix-up. But in the ’50s MacLean was one of the most rigorous writers in the field, indeed one of the codifiers of hard SF, although her early stuff can be less defined by the hard sciences than the soft. She went to grad school for psychology, and today’s story is about sociology. “The Snowball Effect” might strike you as being only nominally SF; certainly it’s not SF of the robots-and-spaceships sort. But it’s definitely speculative fiction, which is not a label I like to use (I tend to see “speculative fiction” as a cop-out term), but this is a rare instance where it’s applicable. MacLean had made her debut in Astounding, but the newfangled Galaxy was a much better fit for her brand of satirical soft SF, so mostly she would stay there.
Placing Coordinates
First published in the September 1952 issue of Galaxy Science Fiction. Reprinted in Second Galaxy Reader of Science Fiction (ed. H. L. Gold), The Penguin Science Fiction Omnibus (ed. Brian W. Aldiss), The Great SF Stories #14 (ed. Isaac Asimov and Martin H. Greenberg), The Ascent of Wonder: The Evolution of Hard SF (ed. David G. Hartwell and Kathryn Cramer), The Big Book of Science Fiction (ed. Ann and Jeff VanderMeer), and the MacLean collection The Diploids. The copyright ran out on it, so you can read it on Project Gutenberg with no issue.
Enhancing Image
Halloway is the president and dean of a university—somewhere. It’s unclear where exactly this university is. He’s dealing with a bit of a renegade professor, one Wilton Caswell, the head of the Sociology Department, which risks being gutted on account of a lack of interest from “the big-money men,” i.e., wealthy donors who actually keep the college running. Sociology doesn’t really appeal to them. “To them, sociology sounds like socialism—nothing can sound worse than that,” says Halloway. This is both a funny little bit of social commentary and perhaps some foreshadowing as well. You may recall about a year ago I reviewed MacLean’s “Pictures Don’t Lie,” which I liked quite a bit, especially with how it handled its twist ending. “The Snowball Effect,” which like the aforementioned story got adapted for X Minus One (I do recommend the X Minus One version of “The Snowball Effect,” by the way, it’s pretty faithful and in some ways more vividly depicts what MacLean was going for than what she could accomplish on paper), and both stories feel very much like they could be produced as stage plays, or for radio. Much of our time is spent either with just Halloway and Caswell or Halloway more or less by himself, as he keeps track of Caswell’s project. Caswell has a solution for his department, which comes down to a bet: Caswell can show his theory about the snowball effect for an organization and chart out said organization’s growth and lifespan over a six-month period. Sociology is, after all, the study of societies; but then damn near anything can count as a society—even a women’s sewing circle. By the end of the six months the Watashaw Sewing Circle, run by one Mrs. Searles, should have grown so as to vindicate Caswell’s studies, according to the plans and laws he laid out. “If Caswell’s equations meant anything at all, we had given that sewing circle more growth drives than the Roman Empire.”
Four months later and Halloway checks in on the Sewing Circle, only to find that such an organization does not exist anymore, and indeed has not for a minute; instead it’s been replaced by the Civic Welfare League, also run by Mrs. Searles. At first it seems like Caswell’s project had fallen through horribly, but quite the opposite has happened, with the former Sewing Circle having metamorphized and grown into a formidable charity organization seemingly overnight. The miraculous thing is that the CWL sprouted from the Sewing Circle without actually changing or amending the rules Caswell had laid out for the Sewing Circle, although the implication is that Caswell had designed the Sewing Circle so that it would, out of necessity, become something else so as to grow rapidly in numbers. He knew what he was doing. Halloway is more clueless, not helped by his struggling to get in touch with Mrs. Searles, who despite her importance to the plot remains a marginal figure. One reason I suspect MacLean was one of the few women to appear in Astounding (later Analog) with any regularity is that her style and preoccupation with male characters could be considered masculine. Certainly she stands out as distinctly pre-New Wave, being a generation (literarily, if not physically) apart from the second-wave feminist writers who would most forcefully bring the battle of the sexes to science fiction. Women both do and do not figure strongly into “The Snowball Effect,” because on the one hand the only characters with substantial dialogue, and whose perspectives we have any real insight to, are men; but then also you have the CWL, which at first is an all-women organization, and MacLean seems to be making a point about women’s roles in political activism, as historically women’s contributions to liberation movements and anti-war protests, have been quite profound. And then there’s Caswell, who despite having devised the project in the first place, is content to just watch it play out; you could say he only got the snowball tumbling downhill.
“The Snowball Effect” is a good deal less serious than “Pictures Don’t Lie,” indeed being the kind of social satire that Robert Sheckley would make his bread and butter (Sheckley made he debut the same year MacLean’s story was published); but while Sheckley had a misogynistic streak, MacLean’s story is slyly feminist in a way that male readers of the time probably would not have found too confrontational, while at the same time these readers would be subjected to some big ideas under the guise of a sci-fi comedy. Also by centering her story on men, with women being peripheral but at the same time pervasive, MacLean avoids what would become a bit of a stereotype with lady authors in the field during the pre-New Wave years, that being the centering of women’s roles as caregivers in what was being a middle-class sprawl. James Blish, in one of his books of criticism (I forget which one), makes the misogynistic but incisive comment that these lady authors, who tended to gravitate toward The Magazine of Fantasy and Science Fiction rather than Galaxy, were the “housewives” of the field. They wrote about women who lived day to day as moms and/or wives, their own existences hovering around the men and/or boys closest to them. An SFnal conflict may arise because the female protagonist’s idiot husband wants something, or her bratty son wants something, or maybe she herself wants something that she thinks will impress her husband or son. While women were literally at the center of such stories, their relationships with the male gender also took just as much center stage—mind you that the authors often did this with social commentary in mind, to say something about what it’s like to live as a (presumably) white middle-class woman under patriarchy. But while the dual protagonists of MacLean’s story are men, they end up being observers to a women-driven phenomenon, with the women in question mostly acting apart from their male peers.
There Be Spoilers Here
The CWL proves to be a huge success once the six months are up—if anything it might be too successful. What started as a ladies’ club has blossomed into something like an egalitarian democratic socialist society, a kind of mini-government whose chief concern is welfare. It’s the kind of thing the Fabians would’ve wanted. The CWL has gone well beyond Watashaw and by the end of the story they’ve opened up a branch in New York, open to women and men, be they rich or poor, handsome or ugly, yet still acting on the guidelines Caswell had set up for the Sewing Circle. Halloway’s jaw hits the fucking floor as he charts the rate of growth. “After the next doubling, the curve went almost straight up and off the page.” Caswell calculates that at the rate things are going the CWL will have effectively become a world government in about twelve years. There is a problem, of course, in that the project was set up such that once it stops growing for a long enough period it will dissolve. The implications are not exactly great, as presumably once this future world government reaches as many people as it can possibly recruit it will start crumbling. But by the time that happens it won’t be Caswell or Halloway’s problem anymore. The business will have gotten too big by then. Despite involving only a few characters and feeling like a stage production with how insular it is, the ending is comically large-scale.
A Step Farther Out
Sorry, I was supposed to post this yesterday, but there was an issue with WordPress that seemed to have to do with Google Chrome so I couldn’t fucking log into my account. (Thank you, Google, very cool.) I guess it was the kind of mishap that befits a comedy of this sort, although unlike my real-life experience with writing about “The Snowball Effect” I do certainly recommend the story itself. Being concerned with both social commentary and the soft sciences, it’s just the kind of story H. L. Gold wanted for his magazine, and it’s the kind of story one would have a hard time finding in Astounding, which was Galaxy‘s most direct rival. I should also read more MacLean—not that she wrote a lot.
See you next time.








